Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim prediction, odds, pick for UFC Vegas 111

Chris Padilla vs. Ismael Bonfim Prediction and Odds for UFC Vegas 111

This article provides a prediction, pick, and betting odds for the lightweight fight between Ismael Bonfim and Chris Padilla at UFC Vegas 111.

Fighter Backgrounds

Ismael Bonfim (20-5), part of the Bonfim brothers, steps into the octagon three fights before his younger brother headlines UFC Vegas 111. At 29 years old, Bonfim comes into this fight with a 1-2 record in his last three bouts. He lost by first-round TKO to Nazim Sadykhov in February, which was his first knockout defeat and halted the momentum from his 2024 victory over Vinc Pichel.

Chris Padilla (16-6), 30, is unbeaten in the UFC with a 3-0 record. After spending a decade competing in the West Coast regional scene, ‘Taco’ made a successful UFC debut with a submission win over James Llontop at Vegas 91 on short notice. He followed that with a knockout win over Rongzhu and a decision victory against Jai Herbert.

UFC Vegas 111 Odds

According to DraftKings, Padilla continues to defy expectations as the underdog, remaining unbeaten in the UFC despite stepping up on short notice in his debut.

Nobody expected Padilla to be this successful when he stepped up on short notice, yet here he is.

Padilla’s determination has allowed him to win all three of his UFC fights as an underdog. Although he may not be the toughest opponent Bonfim has faced, Padilla will challenge his resilience from the start.

He finds himself in the same position at UFC Vegas 111 against Bonfim. Padilla might not be the best fighter Bonfim has ever faced, but he will test his will from the jump.

Summary

Padilla’s unbeaten UFC streak and willpower make this lightweight bout at UFC Vegas 111 an intriguing test for Bonfim, who is seeking to regain momentum after recent setbacks.

Author's Conclusion

Chris Padilla’s rising UFC success reflects his resilience and underdog spirit, posing a significant challenge to Ismael Bonfim’s comeback hopes at UFC Vegas 111.

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ClutchPoints ClutchPoints — 2025-11-06