UFC Vegas 111- Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

UFC Vegas 111: Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim Predictions, Betting Odds and Best Bets

The lightweight bout between Chris Padilla and Ismael Bonfim promises excitement at UFC Vegas 111 on November 8. Two contrasting styles will collide as Padilla’s measured technique meets Bonfim’s aggressive striking inside the Apex octagon.

Fighter Analysis

Chris Padilla

Standing at 5’9″ with a 74-inch reach, Chris Padilla enters with a 16–6 record. He lands 4.13 strikes per minute with 51% accuracy, while absorbing 3.68. His defense rate of 57% shows his careful, strategic approach. Padilla averages 1.56 takedowns per bout at 30% accuracy, complemented by 0.5 submission attempts and a flawless 100% takedown defense. His balanced skill set allows him to control the fight’s range and rhythm.

Ismael Bonfim

Ismael Bonfim, 5’8″ tall with a 71-inch reach, brings a 20–5 record and a high-volume approach. He lands 5.73 significant strikes per minute with 55% accuracy while taking just 3.10. His striking defense stands at an elite 70%, showing his ability to avoid damage under pressure. Bonfim’s grappling output is modest, averaging 0.96 takedowns per fight at 33% accuracy and a 76% takedown defense. Despite strong stand-up skills, his four career submission losses highlight potential vulnerability on the ground.

Styles and Matchup Outlook

Padilla’s composed, well-rounded game contrasts sharply with Bonfim’s fast-paced offensive striking, making this lightweight showdown a test of control versus chaos.

Padilla’s key strengths: reach advantage, balanced game, perfect takedown defense.
Bonfim’s key strengths: high-volume offense, elite defense, striking power.
Potential weakness: Bonfim’s submission defense could be tested if taken down.

Prediction

The fight outcome may hinge on whether Padilla can slow the tempo and bring Bonfim into grappling exchanges. If not, Bonfim’s speed and output could dictate the scorecards in his favor.

Author’s Summary

This fight pairs Padilla’s controlled tactics against Bonfim’s explosive aggression, offering a clash that could redefine momentum in the lightweight division.

The Playoffs — 2025-11-08